The Odds Of Bad Things Not Happening To You

I live life a bit differently from others in a lot of ways.  One of those ways is not having a TV that is hooked up to cable or otherwise getting a signal from the outside world.  I’ve not had this for a dozen years or so.  When an incident happens like the movie theater shooting in Aurora, CO, I do not experience the news directly.  As the moon reflects the sun, my friends reflect mainstream news to me.  I see their reaction to this, to various political moves, etc and it seems so out of proportion with reality and what should actually be paid attention to, so I looked up the figures.  Usually these are given as 1 in 50, etc.  For my friends, I decided to calculate the percentage chance that none of these things would happen (US statistics).